1.) Winter has returned!
Truckee got more than a foot of snow today, and was only forecast to get around half off that. There is a bigger storm coming on Thursday, so the skiing and riding is about to get much better.
2.) available home inventory has hit the lowest level I have seen in the 12 years I have been in Truckee real estate!
Today in Tahoe Donner, a bellwether for the Truckee and North Tahoe market, the number of single family homes for sale is 18. Eighteen homes, out of over 5000 homes, are for sale. This represents around 1/3rd of 1% of the existing homes in Tahoe Donner. This is a very strong seller's market. I should mention a couple of caveats. One, we usually hit our low inventory level for the year in February or March, and inventory will start climbing in the spring, as it does every year. Secondly, with rates starting to climb and the possibility of an inflationary environment creeping in, buyer demand may even strengthen this year. For current owners, this is a great situation to be in. And for those looking to purchase property here, there will be a reasonable time this summer when inventory starts to creep up. Being patient will be the key to finding a good home at a fair market price. If you are looking to buy or sell this year, let's check in and talk about your timing. In the mean time, let's ski!
What to do in Truckee when winter doesn't come
As I'm sure you know by now, snow in the Sierra has been hard to come by this year. The skiers, riders and resorts are not having a great year. So as a local or devoted Truckee/North Tahoe visitor, what do you do? The answer is get outside! There is so much to do here right now. In the last week, I've hiked, rode my mountain bike and fished! There is a tremendous opportunity to enjoy our incredible outdoor playground when winter decides to not show up, or just show up late. Hopefully it is the latter, as we have had too much of the former in the last 6 years. As I write this, we have a very cold front moving in and we are expecting a bit of snow later today, followed by some extreme cold in the early parts of this week. This could also bring some ice skating into play if you are careful and know where to skate, and more importantly, where not to skate. There is a local Facebook Group, Truckee Tahoe Ice Skating, where some discuss ice conditions on our lakes and reservoirs. So if you live here, or are just planning a trip this winter, thing creatively. If the skiing is scarce, find something else to do. Need suggestions? Give me a call!
a nice rainbow taken 2/17/18 at boca reservoir
Greetings and happy February! I hope that winter is going well for you and that you only had to live through Groundhog Day once. Lets have a look at the January sales numbers. In Tahoe Donner, our bellwether for Truckee, there were 15 sales in January compared to 14 the previous year. The average sale price was $812,500 compared with $743,000 the previous January. There are currently 28 single family homes active in Tahoe Donner, which is around one half of one percent of available homes actively for sale, meaning supply is scarce! Demand continues to be high for homes and condos here, despite the weak snow fall we have seen so far this year. This could be a result of many things, not the least of which are:
1.) The expected rise of interest rates this year and for the foreseeable future
2.) The possible resurgence of an inflationary environment - which may bode well for real estate across the board
3.) The finite number of homes and homesites available in our market
Right now the sellers are holding all the cards, and if you are considering selling your home in Truckee or North Tahoe, right now may be your best time. If you are looking to buy here, waiting until summer may offer the luxury or more choices of properties and relatively lower competition for each listing.
Let me know if you have any questions, I'm here to help!
Some photos from Boca
I thought I would share some photos I took last week of a family hike around Boca Reservoir, shot with the new Light L16 camera. If you haven't heard of this camera Google it, it is amazing. And fits in your pocket!
What a Year!
First, Happy New Year to all! I hope your 2017 closed out well and that 2018 is happy and prosperous.
Our local real estate market in 2017 was very strong. Due in part to the very snowy 2016-2017 winter, buyer demand was strong throughout the year. Combined with low housing turnover, our available inventory remained quite low. As I write this, there are only 33 homes on the market in Tahoe Donner, out of over 5000 homes! Buyers commonly found themselves in multiple offer situations, and home prices were often bid up. This was especially prevalent in the larger, newer homes. Here are some year over year numbers to give you an idea of where prices have been going:
From October 1st to December 31st 2016 Here are some median and average prices, followed by the same for 2017. These reflect homes in the main housing areas of Truckee - Tahoe Donner, Sierra Meadows/Ponderosa Palisades, Prosser, Glenshire, Donner Lake and Donner Summit. They do not include the exclusive golf communities as they skew the numbers quite a bit.
10/1/2016 - 12/31/2016
Median - $550,000
Average - $605,000
Median - $675,000
Average - $723,000
10/1/2017 - 12/31/2017
Median - $580,000
Average - $604,000
Median - $785,000
Average - $887,000
For 3 bedroom homes in this market snapshot, average prices are about even, and median prices up 5.5%. For the 4 bedroom homes the average is up almost 23% with median prices up over 16%!
As you may already know, our real estate market as a whole reflects the economy in the Bay Area. It should be no surprise that demand is strong for good homes. As you also probably know, our ski season is off to a late start, but we do have snow in the forecast this week. Everyone up here is doing the snow dance and hoping that things stay cold. It is impossible to know how a weak ski season, it stays like this will affect supply and demand come spring and summer. Stay tuned for market updates, and feel free to contact me directly if I can answer any questions.
Speed Trap locations
A quick heads up to Tahoe Donner owners, Truckee PD just shared on its Facebook page the locations for their traffic enforcement this weekend. Their goal, to try to get traffic to slow down, is an honorable one. To that end, please drive slow in and around TD this weekend. More and more children and dogs are out. Here is the map they just put out of their planned enforcement locations. Have a great weekend!
June 2017 - Balanced market and spring home chores to not overlook
As we roll through the last days of spring, we are seeing a very active and increasingly healthy real estate market. The last year, and especially the last 4 months have been fairly one sided as there was very little inventory available, and buyers were active in numbers. Buyer interest is still strong, and that is now being balanced out by our spring listing season. Our inventory is increasing, even while buyers are snapping up homes, sometimes within a few days of hitting the market. Loan rates remain low, very low, with my last quote at 4% for a 30 year fixed with no points on loans up to $424,100. But the increased inventory remains the big news and brings some equilibrium to our market.
Current owners should be looking to get their spring chores done on their homes. Have a good look at your roof, did it take any damage from the heavy snow we had this year? Roofers are busy, so if you need repairs you need to get on their schedules early if you want the repairs completed before winter. Also, make sure you open up your crawl space vents to get the airflow moving through that area. This is the easiest way to prevent water related issues down the road. If you have irrigation systems, crank them up and check for leaks. Mountain Hardware carries parts if you need to replace anything.
Here are the sales for May in Tahoe Donner for both homes and condos.
Also, here are the year over year statistics to see how our market is doing compared to this date last year:
Stats courtesy of David Hipkins, Dickson Realty
How we are doing compared to last year at this time.
Numbers courtesy of David Hipkins, Dickson Realty. Thanks David!
Closed Transactions in april
While buyer demand continues to be high, the lack of available inventory is suppressing the total sales each month. This does continue to push values up each month. There is definitely more demand on the lower price points. This is shown clearly in the price points of the homes sold last month and the homes available for sale today. In April the average price for a single family sold in Tahoe Donner was $746,000. The average price for active listings is $876,000.
However, listing season is starting to crank up and more inventory is on the way. As long as sellers do not greatly overprice their homes the amount of sales will increase. As always, supply and demand will dictate what happens to prices as we move forward. Here are the sales in Tahoe Donner for April...
Contact Dave Donnelly
Allison James Estates and Homes
Truckee, CA 96161 USA
Phone: (530) 414-4072
License: BRE 01723953
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